@inbook{318580da6a8040cfb49166bcdcc79126,
title = "A Longitudinal Study on Twitter-Based Forecasting of Five Dutch National Elections",
abstract = "We report on an eight-year longitudinal study of predicting the outcome of elections based on party mentions in tweets. Five Dutch national elections for the parliament and senate between 2011 and 2019 were examined. Configurations with four parameters were tested. For three elections, reasonably accurate predictions can be obtained that are under twice the error of the classic polls, but only after post-hoc optimization. When the same optimal parameter configuration is used for all elections, the results worsen.",
author = "Eric Sanders and {van den Bosch}, A.",
year = "2019",
month = nov,
day = "11",
doi = "10.1007/978-3-030-34971-4_9",
language = "English",
isbn = "978-3-030-34970-7",
volume = "11864",
series = "Lecture Notes in Computer Science",
publisher = "Springer",
pages = "128--142",
booktitle = "Social Informatics",
address = "Germany",
}