Delineating large-scale migratory connectivity of reed warblers using integrated multistate models

Petr Procházka (Corresponding author), Steffen Hahn, Simon Rolland, Henk van der Jeugd, Tibor Csörgő, Frédéric Jiguet, Tomasz Mokwa, Felix Liechti, Didier Vangeluwe, Fränzi Korner-Nievergelt

Research output: Contribution to journal/periodicalArticleScientificpeer-review

29 Citations (Scopus)


Aim Assessing the extent of large-scale migratory connectivity is crucial for understanding the evolution of migratory systems and effective species conservation. It has been, however, difficult to elucidate the annual whereabouts of migratory populations of small animals across the annual cycle. Here, we use the reed warbler (Acrocephalus scirpaceus) as one of the most frequently ringed passerines in Europe to demonstrate how ring re-encounter and geolocator data can be used to effectively quantify range-wide distribution of different populations. Location Birds were ringed across Europe and re-encountered in Europe, Africa and the Middle East. Methods We employed multistate models which quantify range-wide distribution of different breeding populations while accounting for the spatial and temporal heterogeneity in the re-encounter probabilities and differential age-specific survival during migratory and non-migratory periods. In addition, we integrated geolocator and breeding abundance data as well as human population density to provide a realistic picture of the year-round distribution of the reed warbler, a trans-Saharan migrant. Results Our modelling approach revealed frequent use of the western Mediterranean flyway for the majority of western European populations, but a higher absolute number of reed warblers used the eastern flyway. Further, many populations used different stopover areas during post- and pre-breeding migration, resulting in an anticlockwise loop migration pattern. Main conclusions The integrative modelling framework helped us to depict the range-wide migration pattern more realistically than raw ring re-encounter data would allow.
Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)27-40
Number of pages14
JournalDiversity and Distributions
Issue number1
Early online date28 Oct 2016
Publication statusPublished - 2017


  • Acrocephalus scirpaceus, band encounter data, bird migration, loop migration, migratory connectivity, ring recovery data, ring recovery model, species distribution, survival
  • international


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