Independent Hazards, Local Interactions, and the Return Decision of Recent Migrants

G.E. Bijwaard, C. Schluter

Research output: Working paper/discussion paperWorking paper/Discussion paperScientific

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Abstract

Abstract
Consider the duration of stay of migrants in a host country. We propose a
statistical model of locally interdependent hazards in order to examine whether
interactions at the level of the neighbourhood are present and lead to social
multipliers. To this end, we propose and study a new two-stage estimation
strategy based on an inverted linear rank test statistic. Using a unique large
administrative panel dataset for the population of recent labour immigrants to
the Netherlands, we quantify the local social multipliers in several factual and
counterfactual experiments, and demonstrate that these can be substantial.
Original languageEnglish
Place of PublicationLondon
PublisherCentre for Research and Analysis of Migration (CReAM)
Number of pages42
Publication statusPublished - 2016

Publication series

NameDiscussion Paper Series
No.CPD 20/16

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