Integrated modeling of nature's role in human well-being: A research agenda

Rebecca Chaplin-Kramer; Stephen Polasky; Rob Alkemade; Neil D. Burgess; William W.L. Cheung; Ingo Fetzer; Mike Harfoot; Thomas W. Hertel; Samantha L.L. Hill; Justin Andrew Johnson; Jan H. Janse; Patrick José v. Jeetze; Hye Jin Kim; Jan J. Kuiper; Eric Lonsdorf; David Leclère; Mark Mulligan; Garry D. Peterson; Alexander Popp; Stephanie Roe; Aafke M. Schipper; Tord Snäll; Arnout van Soesbergen; Aline C. Soterroni; Elke Stehfest; Detlef P. van Vuuren; Piero Visconti; Lan Wang-Erlandsson; Geoff Wells; Henrique M. Pereira

doi:10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2024.102891

Integrated modeling of nature's role in human well-being: A research agenda

Rebecca Chaplin-Kramer^* (Corresponding author), Stephen Polasky^* (Corresponding author), Rob Alkemade, Neil D. Burgess, William W.L. Cheung, Ingo Fetzer, Mike Harfoot, Thomas W. Hertel, Samantha L.L. Hill, Justin Andrew Johnson, Jan H. Janse, Patrick José v. Jeetze, Hye Jin Kim, Jan J. Kuiper, Eric Lonsdorf, David Leclère, Mark Mulligan, Garry D. Peterson, Alexander Popp, Stephanie RoeAafke M. Schipper, Tord Snäll, Arnout van Soesbergen, Aline C. Soterroni, Elke Stehfest, Detlef P. van Vuuren, Piero Visconti, Lan Wang-Erlandsson, Geoff Wells, Henrique M. Pereira

^*Corresponding author for this work

NIOO - Aquatic Ecology (AqE)

Research output: Contribution to journal/periodical › Article › Scientific › peer-review

Abstract

Integrated assessment models that incorporate biodiversity and ecosystem services could be an important tool for improving our understanding of interconnected social-economic-ecological systems, and for analyzing how policy alternatives can shift future trajectories towards more sustainable development. Despite recent scientific and technological advances, key gaps remain in the scientific community's ability to deliver information to decision-makers at the pace and scale needed to address sustainability challenges. We identify five research frontiers for integrated social-economic-ecological modeling (primarily focused on terrestrial systems) to incorporate biodiversity and ecosystem services: 1) downscaling impacts of direct and indirect drivers on ecosystems; 2) incorporating feedbacks in ecosystems; 3) linking ecological impacts to human well-being, 4) disaggregating outcomes for distributional equity considerations, and 5) incorporating dynamic feedbacks of ecosystem services on the social-economic system. We discuss progress and challenges along each of these five frontiers and the science-policy linkages needed to move new research and information into action.

Original language	English
Article number	102891
Journal	Global Environmental Change
Volume	88
Early online date	12 Aug 2024
DOIs	https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2024.102891
Publication status	Published - Sept 2024

Keywords

Biodiversity
Climate change
Ecosystem services
Integrated assessment modeling
Land-use change
Sustainable development

Access to Document

10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2024.102891Licence: CC BY

Cite this

Chaplin-Kramer, R., Polasky, S., Alkemade, R., Burgess, N. D., Cheung, W. W. L., Fetzer, I., Harfoot, M., Hertel, T. W., Hill, S. L. L., Andrew Johnson, J., Janse, J. H., José v. Jeetze, P., Kim, H. J., Kuiper, J. J., Lonsdorf, E., Leclère, D., Mulligan, M., Peterson, G. D., Popp, A., ... Pereira, H. M. (2024). Integrated modeling of nature's role in human well-being: A research agenda. Global Environmental Change, 88, Article 102891. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2024.102891

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abstract = "Integrated assessment models that incorporate biodiversity and ecosystem services could be an important tool for improving our understanding of interconnected social-economic-ecological systems, and for analyzing how policy alternatives can shift future trajectories towards more sustainable development. Despite recent scientific and technological advances, key gaps remain in the scientific community's ability to deliver information to decision-makers at the pace and scale needed to address sustainability challenges. We identify five research frontiers for integrated social-economic-ecological modeling (primarily focused on terrestrial systems) to incorporate biodiversity and ecosystem services: 1) downscaling impacts of direct and indirect drivers on ecosystems; 2) incorporating feedbacks in ecosystems; 3) linking ecological impacts to human well-being, 4) disaggregating outcomes for distributional equity considerations, and 5) incorporating dynamic feedbacks of ecosystem services on the social-economic system. We discuss progress and challenges along each of these five frontiers and the science-policy linkages needed to move new research and information into action.",

keywords = "Biodiversity, Climate change, Ecosystem services, Integrated assessment modeling, Land-use change, Sustainable development",

author = "Rebecca Chaplin-Kramer and Stephen Polasky and Rob Alkemade and Burgess, {Neil D.} and Cheung, {William W.L.} and Ingo Fetzer and Mike Harfoot and Hertel, {Thomas W.} and Hill, {Samantha L.L.} and {Andrew Johnson}, Justin and Janse, {Jan H.} and {Jos{\'e} v. Jeetze}, Patrick and Kim, {Hye Jin} and Kuiper, {Jan J.} and Eric Lonsdorf and David Lecl{\`e}re and Mark Mulligan and Peterson, {Garry D.} and Alexander Popp and Stephanie Roe and Schipper, {Aafke M.} and Tord Sn{\"a}ll and {van Soesbergen}, Arnout and Soterroni, {Aline C.} and Elke Stehfest and {van Vuuren}, {Detlef P.} and Piero Visconti and Lan Wang-Erlandsson and Geoff Wells and Pereira, {Henrique M.}",

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doi = "10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2024.102891",

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Chaplin-Kramer, R, Polasky, S, Alkemade, R, Burgess, ND, Cheung, WWL, Fetzer, I, Harfoot, M, Hertel, TW, Hill, SLL, Andrew Johnson, J, Janse, JH, José v. Jeetze, P, Kim, HJ, Kuiper, JJ, Lonsdorf, E, Leclère, D, Mulligan, M, Peterson, GD, Popp, A, Roe, S, Schipper, AM, Snäll, T, van Soesbergen, A, Soterroni, AC, Stehfest, E, van Vuuren, DP, Visconti, P, Wang-Erlandsson, L, Wells, G & Pereira, HM 2024, 'Integrated modeling of nature's role in human well-being: A research agenda', Global Environmental Change, vol. 88, 102891. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2024.102891

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T1 - Integrated modeling of nature's role in human well-being

T2 - A research agenda

AU - Chaplin-Kramer, Rebecca

AU - Polasky, Stephen

AU - Alkemade, Rob

AU - Burgess, Neil D.

AU - Cheung, William W.L.

AU - Fetzer, Ingo

AU - Harfoot, Mike

AU - Hertel, Thomas W.

AU - Hill, Samantha L.L.

AU - Andrew Johnson, Justin

AU - Janse, Jan H.

AU - José v. Jeetze, Patrick

AU - Kim, Hye Jin

AU - Kuiper, Jan J.

AU - Lonsdorf, Eric

AU - Leclère, David

AU - Mulligan, Mark

AU - Peterson, Garry D.

AU - Popp, Alexander

AU - Roe, Stephanie

AU - Schipper, Aafke M.

AU - Snäll, Tord

AU - van Soesbergen, Arnout

AU - Soterroni, Aline C.

AU - Stehfest, Elke

AU - van Vuuren, Detlef P.

AU - Visconti, Piero

AU - Wang-Erlandsson, Lan

AU - Wells, Geoff

AU - Pereira, Henrique M.

N1 - Data archiving: no data

PY - 2024/9

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N2 - Integrated assessment models that incorporate biodiversity and ecosystem services could be an important tool for improving our understanding of interconnected social-economic-ecological systems, and for analyzing how policy alternatives can shift future trajectories towards more sustainable development. Despite recent scientific and technological advances, key gaps remain in the scientific community's ability to deliver information to decision-makers at the pace and scale needed to address sustainability challenges. We identify five research frontiers for integrated social-economic-ecological modeling (primarily focused on terrestrial systems) to incorporate biodiversity and ecosystem services: 1) downscaling impacts of direct and indirect drivers on ecosystems; 2) incorporating feedbacks in ecosystems; 3) linking ecological impacts to human well-being, 4) disaggregating outcomes for distributional equity considerations, and 5) incorporating dynamic feedbacks of ecosystem services on the social-economic system. We discuss progress and challenges along each of these five frontiers and the science-policy linkages needed to move new research and information into action.

AB - Integrated assessment models that incorporate biodiversity and ecosystem services could be an important tool for improving our understanding of interconnected social-economic-ecological systems, and for analyzing how policy alternatives can shift future trajectories towards more sustainable development. Despite recent scientific and technological advances, key gaps remain in the scientific community's ability to deliver information to decision-makers at the pace and scale needed to address sustainability challenges. We identify five research frontiers for integrated social-economic-ecological modeling (primarily focused on terrestrial systems) to incorporate biodiversity and ecosystem services: 1) downscaling impacts of direct and indirect drivers on ecosystems; 2) incorporating feedbacks in ecosystems; 3) linking ecological impacts to human well-being, 4) disaggregating outcomes for distributional equity considerations, and 5) incorporating dynamic feedbacks of ecosystem services on the social-economic system. We discuss progress and challenges along each of these five frontiers and the science-policy linkages needed to move new research and information into action.

KW - Biodiversity

KW - Climate change

KW - Ecosystem services

KW - Integrated assessment modeling

KW - Land-use change

KW - Sustainable development

U2 - 10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2024.102891

DO - 10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2024.102891

M3 - Article

AN - SCOPUS:85200967222

SN - 0959-3780

VL - 88

JO - Global Environmental Change

JF - Global Environmental Change

M1 - 102891

ER -