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Labour market status and migration dynamics. / Bijwaard, G.E.

Bonn : The Institute for the Study of Labor (IZA), 2009. (Discussion paper series).

Research output: Working paper/discussion paperWorking paper/Discussion paperProfessional

Harvard

Bijwaard, GE 2009 'Labour market status and migration dynamics' Discussion paper series, The Institute for the Study of Labor (IZA), Bonn.

APA

Bijwaard, G. E. (2009). Labour market status and migration dynamics. (Discussion paper series). Bonn: The Institute for the Study of Labor (IZA).

Vancouver

Bijwaard GE. Labour market status and migration dynamics. Bonn: The Institute for the Study of Labor (IZA). 2009. (Discussion paper series).

Author

Bijwaard, G.E. / Labour market status and migration dynamics. Bonn : The Institute for the Study of Labor (IZA), 2009. (Discussion paper series).

BibTeX

@techreport{fc1592eb7a564145976b77c89b12cfa2,
title = "Labour market status and migration dynamics",
abstract = "In this empirical paper we assess how labour market transitions and out- and repeated migration of immigrants are interrelated. We estimate a multi-state multiple spell competing risks model with four states: employed, unemployed receiving benefits, out-of-the-labour market (no benefits) and abroad. For the analysis we use data on recent labour immigrants to The Netherlands, which implies that all migrants are (self)-employed at the time of arrival. We find that many migrants leave the country after a period of no-income. Employment characteristics and the country of origin play an important role in explaining the dynamics.Microsimulations of synthetic cohorts reveal that many migrants experience unemployment spells, but ten years after arrival only a few are unemployed. Scenarios based on microsimulation indicate that the Credit Crunch will not only increase the unemployment among migrants but also departure from the country. Scenarios also indicate that an increase in the number of migrants from the EU accession countries will lead to higher labour market and migration dynamics. Finally, based on microsimulation we do not expect that the recent simplification of the entry of high income migrants will have a lasting effect, as many of those migrants leave fast. Keywords: migration dynamics; labour market transitions; competing risks; immigrant assimilation",
author = "G.E. Bijwaard",
note = "Reporting year: 2009",
year = "2009",
language = "English",
volume = "4530",
series = "Discussion paper series",
publisher = "The Institute for the Study of Labor (IZA)",
type = "WorkingPaper",
institution = "The Institute for the Study of Labor (IZA)",

}

RIS

TY - UNPB

T1 - Labour market status and migration dynamics

AU - Bijwaard, G.E.

N1 - Reporting year: 2009

PY - 2009

Y1 - 2009

N2 - In this empirical paper we assess how labour market transitions and out- and repeated migration of immigrants are interrelated. We estimate a multi-state multiple spell competing risks model with four states: employed, unemployed receiving benefits, out-of-the-labour market (no benefits) and abroad. For the analysis we use data on recent labour immigrants to The Netherlands, which implies that all migrants are (self)-employed at the time of arrival. We find that many migrants leave the country after a period of no-income. Employment characteristics and the country of origin play an important role in explaining the dynamics.Microsimulations of synthetic cohorts reveal that many migrants experience unemployment spells, but ten years after arrival only a few are unemployed. Scenarios based on microsimulation indicate that the Credit Crunch will not only increase the unemployment among migrants but also departure from the country. Scenarios also indicate that an increase in the number of migrants from the EU accession countries will lead to higher labour market and migration dynamics. Finally, based on microsimulation we do not expect that the recent simplification of the entry of high income migrants will have a lasting effect, as many of those migrants leave fast. Keywords: migration dynamics; labour market transitions; competing risks; immigrant assimilation

AB - In this empirical paper we assess how labour market transitions and out- and repeated migration of immigrants are interrelated. We estimate a multi-state multiple spell competing risks model with four states: employed, unemployed receiving benefits, out-of-the-labour market (no benefits) and abroad. For the analysis we use data on recent labour immigrants to The Netherlands, which implies that all migrants are (self)-employed at the time of arrival. We find that many migrants leave the country after a period of no-income. Employment characteristics and the country of origin play an important role in explaining the dynamics.Microsimulations of synthetic cohorts reveal that many migrants experience unemployment spells, but ten years after arrival only a few are unemployed. Scenarios based on microsimulation indicate that the Credit Crunch will not only increase the unemployment among migrants but also departure from the country. Scenarios also indicate that an increase in the number of migrants from the EU accession countries will lead to higher labour market and migration dynamics. Finally, based on microsimulation we do not expect that the recent simplification of the entry of high income migrants will have a lasting effect, as many of those migrants leave fast. Keywords: migration dynamics; labour market transitions; competing risks; immigrant assimilation

M3 - Working paper/Discussion paper

VL - 4530

T3 - Discussion paper series

BT - Labour market status and migration dynamics

PB - The Institute for the Study of Labor (IZA)

CY - Bonn

ER -

ID: 150184