The Decision to Emigrate: A Simulation Model Based on the Theory of Planned Behaviour

Research output: Chapter in book/volumeChapterScientificpeer-review

14 Citations (Scopus)


The theory of planned behaviour (TPB) is one of the most widely used theories of behaviour. It was developed by Ajzen as an extension of Fishbein’s theory of reasoned action (Fishbein and Ajzen, Predicting and changing behaviour. Psychology Press, New York, 2010). The theory states that intentions predict behaviour and intentions are shaped by beliefs. In the paper, the theory of planned behaviour is extended to a process theory and that theory is used to specify a micro-simulation model of emigration decision-making. The validity of the model is assessed by determining how well the model predicts stylized facts about international migration.
Original languageEnglish
Title of host publicationAgent-Based Modelling in Population Studies
EditorsA. Grow, J. Van Bavel
PublisherSpringer International Publishing AG
ISBN (Electronic)978-3-319-32283-4
ISBN (Print)978-3-319-32281-0
Publication statusPublished - 2016

Publication series

NameThe Springer Series on Demographic Methods and Population Analysis
ISSN (Print)1389-6784


  • international migration
  • micro-simulation
  • Theory of planned behaviour
  • Gallup world poll


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