The rise in life expectancy – corresponding rise in subjective life expectancy? Changes over the period 1999-2016

F. Janssen, D. Deeg, M. van der Noordt, N. Sant, H. Galenkamp, M. Huisman

Research output: Working paper/discussion paperWorking paper/Discussion paperScientific

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Abstract

We test the hypothesis that subjective remaining life expectancy (SRLE) increased
concomitantly with the rise in actuarial remaining life expectancy (ARLE) over the
period 1999-2016. As earlier evidence shows the relevance of SRLE for the intention of older workers to continue working, we focus on people aged 64-67 years. We also examine the influence of personal characteristics on the trend in SRLE. We select data from six measurement waves (n=1,967 observations) of the Longitudinal Aging Study Amsterdam, which is representative for people aged 55 and over in the Netherlands.
SRLE is derived from a ‘lifeline’ on which participants indicated where they stood in life at the moment of participation. We find no change over time in SRLE for men; for women, in contrast, we find a significant increase in SRLE, greater than the increase in ARLE. Among the personal characteristics, a poorer self-rated health (men), chronic diseases (women), and, unexpectedly, a higher level of education and better cognitive functioning (both genders) are associated with a shorter SRLE. For women, preference for a fixed retirement age of 65 or lower is associated with a longer SRLE. We discuss implications for the willingness of people aged 64-67 to extend working life.
Original languageEnglish
PublisherNetwork for Studies on Pensions, Aging and Retirement (NETSPAR)
Number of pages16
Publication statusPublished - Jun 2019

Publication series

NameNetspar Design Papers
No.DP 122

Keywords

  • levensverwachting
  • life expectancy
  • Subjective life expectancy

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    Janssen, F., Deeg, D., van der Noordt, M., Sant, N., Galenkamp, H., & Huisman, M. (2019). The rise in life expectancy – corresponding rise in subjective life expectancy? Changes over the period 1999-2016. (Netspar Design Papers; No. DP 122). Network for Studies on Pensions, Aging and Retirement (NETSPAR). https://www.netspar.nl/publicatie/gaat-de-stijging-in-levensverwachting-samen-met-een-stijging-van-de-subjectieve-levensverwachting/