Independent Hazards, Local Interactions, and the Return Decision of Recent Migrants

G.E. Bijwaard, C. Schluter

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Abstract
Consider the duration of stay of migrants in a host country. We propose a
statistical model of locally interdependent hazards in order to examine whether
interactions at the level of the neighbourhood are present and lead to social
multipliers. To this end, we propose and study a new two-stage estimation
strategy based on an inverted linear rank test statistic. Using a unique large
administrative panel dataset for the population of recent labour immigrants to
the Netherlands, we quantify the local social multipliers in several factual and
counterfactual experiments, and demonstrate that these can be substantial.
Originele taal-2Engels
Plaats van productieLondon
UitgeverCentre for Research and Analysis of Migration (CReAM)
Aantal pagina's42
StatusGepubliceerd - 2016

Publicatie series

NaamDiscussion Paper Series
Nr.CPD 20/16

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