Samenvatting
A dynamic microsimulation model is presented to generate individual life histories that are
consistent with cohort projections produced by the (multistate) cohort-component model. The
microsimulation model can incorporate individual differences the cohort-component model
cannot handle. The differences are outcomes of systematic factors and random factors. The
paper focuses on random factors. The microsimulation model uses a continuous-time multistate
cohort-survival model and random draws from piecewise exponential waiting time distributions.
If the parameters of the distributions are the transition intensities of the
cohort-survival model, then the individual life histories are consistent with cohort projections.
The life histories provide insights in population dynamics that cannot be obtained from the
cohort-component model.
Originele taal-2 | Niet gedefinieerd |
---|---|
Pagina's (van-tot) | 267-297 |
Tijdschrift | Cahiers Québécois de Démographie |
Volume | 40 |
Nummer van het tijdschrift | 2 |
Status | Gepubliceerd - 2011 |