Managing uncertainty in soil carbon feedbacks to climate change

M.A. Bradford, W.R. Wieder, G.B. Bonan, N. Fierer, P.A. Raymond, Thomas W. Crowther

Onderzoeksoutput: Bijdrage aan wetenschappelijk tijdschrift/periodieke uitgaveArtikelWetenschappelijkpeer review

487 Citaten (Scopus)
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Samenvatting

Planetary warming may be exacerbated if it accelerates loss of soil carbon to the atmosphere. This carbon-cycle–climate feedback is included in climate projections. Yet, despite ancillary data supporting a positive feedback, there is limited evidence for soil carbon loss under warming. The low confidence engendered in feedback projections is reduced further by the common representation in models of an outdated knowledge of soil carbon turnover. 'Model-knowledge integration' — representing in models an advanced understanding of soil carbon stabilization — is the first step to build confidence. This will inform experiments that further increase confidence by resolving competing mechanisms that most influence projected soil-carbon stocks. Improving feedback projections is an imperative for establishing greenhouse gas emission targets that limit climate change.
Originele taal-2Engels
Pagina's (van-tot)751-758
TijdschriftNature Climate Change
Volume6
DOI's
StatusGepubliceerd - 2016

Research theme

  • Global environmental change

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  • EU - Marie Curie: Thomas Crowther

    Crowther, T.

    01/06/201523/02/2018

    Project: Onderzoek

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